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Emerging markets are in far greater danger of a financial crisis than their developed peers, and Hong Kong has the most to fear, according to an update of Nomura Singapore Limited’s collection of early-warning indicators.

Hong Kong and China are the only constituencies in grave danger of a financial crisis or sharp drop in domestic demand in the next three years, with the red flags more prominent for Hong Kong than even during the peak of the Asian financial crisis in 1997-98, according to the research note published Wednesday by Nomura’s Rob Subbaraman and Michael Loo.

OTHER NEWS

China’s economy is showing signs of extreme stress, and not just because of President Donald Trump’s trade war. Economic data is showing that China’s debt problems are gobbling up cash faster than more Chinese people can become consumers. To change this narrative and calm markets, China will have to make a deal with Trump by […]

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A trade war with China will generate immense pressure on Beijing and companies in the short run, but allow it to stop relying on the overseas market in the long run.

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